Global Economic Outlook : La reprise économique mondiale peut-elle être maintenue?
Ecole de Gouvernance et d'Economie, Rabat
L'économie mondiale connaît une croissance solide et l'Europe se porte particulièrement bien. Cependant, de nombreux pays en développement continuent de croître à des taux bien inférieurs à ceux observés avant la crise financière mondiale. Bien que les perspectives pour 2018 soient positives, plusieurs questions existent sur la durabilité de la reprise à moyen terme. Elles ont trait à l'effet de la hausse des taux d'intérêt internationaux, à l'accroissement des déséquilibres budgétaires aux États-Unis, à une tendance inquiétante au protectionnisme et à la lenteur de la croissance de la productivité. Dans quelle mesure devrions-nous nous inquiéter de ces risques? Comment vont-ils conditionner les régions en développement, notamment le Moyen-Orient et l'Afrique du Nord?
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Uri Dadush
Uri Dadush is a Senior Fellow at the OCP Policy Center and non-resident scholar at Bruegel, based in Washington, DC . He is also Principal of Economic Policy International, LLC, providing consulting services to the World Bank and to other international organizations as well as corporations. He teaches courses on globalization and on international trade policy at the OCP Policy School and at the School of Public Policy at the University of Maryland. Dadush works mainly on trends in the global economy and on how countries deal with the challenge of international integration through flows of trade, finance, and migration. His recent books include “WTO Accessions and Trade Multilateralism” (with Chiedu Osakwe, co-editor), “Juggernaut: How Emerging Markets Are Transforming Globalization” (with William Shaw), “Inequality in America” (with Kemal Dervis and others), “Currency Wars” (with Vera Eidelman, co-editor) and “Paradigm Lost: The Euro in Crisis”.
He was previously Director of the International Economics Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and, at the World Bank, Director of International Trade, as well as Director of Economic Policy, and Director of the Development Prospects Group. Based previously in London, Brussels, and Milan, he spent 15 years in the private sector, where he was President of the Economist Intelligence Unit, Group Vice President of Data Resources, Inc., and a consultant with Mc Kinsey and Co. His columns have appeared in leading publications such as the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, Foreign Affairs, and L’Espresso.